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  • 🚨 Cyber Alerts: like Hurricanes, an Alert Level Framework is Required

🚨 Cyber Alerts: like Hurricanes, an Alert Level Framework is Required

Cyclone Garance wrecked destruction in La Réunion island this week, but thanks to a well-defined alert system, many lives were saved. In cybersecurity, we face crises of similar magnitude, yet we lack a standardized way to assess and communicate threats. A ransomware attack isn’t the same for a hospital, a bank, or a government agency—its severity evolves over time and depends on preparedness. It’s time for a cybersecurity alert system that adapts to real-world threats, guiding responses and helping experts, employees and citizens alike take decisive action.

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StratOps: Should Cybersecurity Have an Alert System Like Natural Disasters?

This week, Cyclone Garance wreaked destruction in La RĆ©union, with at least three casualties and significant damage. Fortunately, preparedness levels were high, and the local authorities declared a ā€œvioletā€ alert, enabling residents to take the necessary precautions. This response likely saved lives. Today, the now ā€œredā€ alert level is expected to lower again.

But what if cybersecurity threats were handled the same way?

Every year, cyberattacks cost trillions globally and disrupt businesses, governments, and critical infrastructure. Yet, unlike hurricanes, earthquakes, or terrorist threats, there is no widely recognized cybersecurity alert system that helps organizations assess risks and take immediate, appropriate action.

Why Cybersecurity Needs an Alert System

In the physical world, alerts are structured and well-understood. Cyclones, for instance, are classified into color-coded alert levels (see SSHWS scale). Here is the principle:

🟔 Yellow: Be aware, prepare.
🟠 Orange: Threat is imminent, take protective action.
šŸ”“ Red: Danger is here, take shelter. Emergency services can still operate.
🟣 Violet: Extreme crisis, total lockdown, no movement allowed, even from emergency services.

These alerts don’t just inform people—they provide a clear framework for response actions. In cybersecurity, however, the same landscape is chaotic. Mature organizations rely on threat intelligence, provided by CERT / CSIRT, but most alerts are either for a technical audience (ā€œCVE-2024-XXXXX detectedā€) or vague (ā€œbe carefulā€), leaving decision-makers without clear guidance.

The result? Many organizations underreact, dismissing real dangers because they receive too many ā€œcriticalā€ alerts and suffer from alert fatigue.

The Problems with the Current Approach

1. Threat Intelligence Alone Is Not Enough

While cybersecurity teams use threat intelligence feeds, these don’t translate into concrete, organization-wide and localized action plans. A structured alert system could bridge this gap by mapping threats to specific actions at different levels.

2. Awareness Training Assumes We Are Always at ā€œYellowā€ or ā€œOrangeā€

Many organizations treat cybersecurity as if they are permanently in a moderate-risk state, keeping employees in a perpetual ā€˜yellow alert’ mode. But this creates a disconnect: either employees tune out security messages because they never change, or they panic when a real attack occurs.

Introducing a Cybersecurity Alert System

A standardized cybersecurity alert system—modeled after natural disaster response frameworks—could help organizations assess risk and take action accordingly. Here’s what it could look like:

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